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Critical Minerals and African Agency: From Extraction to Shared Value

Tuesday June 2, 2026 14:15 - 14:55 CEST FORUM (lower level)

Lecturer:
Speakers: Dr. Axel Berger, Director Deprose Muchena, Dr. Philani Mthembu

Theme: GLOBAL TRADE, GEOECONOMICS AND FINANCE

The race for critical minerals is reshaping global geopolitics. Cobalt, coltan, lithium, and copper—concentrated across sub-Saharan Africa are essential to the green and digital transitions. As demand accelerates, so does competition among major powers seeking access. The central question remains: Who captures the value, and under what conditions can benefits be broadly shared while costs are fairly managed? For African countries, this is a strategic inflection point, not just another commodity cycle. Governments are increasingly examining how others have approached critical minerals policy to strengthen their own negotiating positions. At the same time, growing scrutiny from researchers, civil society, and affected communities highlights the risks of repeating extractive models that marginalize local populations and externalize environmental costs, regardless of the partner involved. Historically, infrastructure and financing have prioritized extraction and export over domestic value creation. Today, a range of external partners, including the EU, U.S., China, Gulf states, Japan, and South Korea, are advancing competing as well as complementary investment frameworks. These create new opportunities, but also risks of fragmentation and renewed dependency if not strategically managed. This session moves beyond supply chains to focus on African agency, industrial strategy, and value capture. How can African countries move beyond raw material exports to shape the terms of extraction, processing, refining, manufacturing, and partnerships, while ensuring benefits are broadly shared and sustainable? This also raises a broader question about development pathways: will this moment reinforce existing extractive patterns, or support more diversified and sustainable growth, and how will these outcomes be distributed in practice?

Lecturers

Lecturer

Dr. Axel Berger Speaker

German Institute of Development and Sustainability (IDOS)

Director Deprose Muchena Speaker

Open Society Foundations

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Dr. Philani Mthembu Speaker

Executive Director
Institute for Global Dialogue